A New Report by Kaiser Family Foundation Found Part D Premiums Will Rise an Average of 13% in 2016

We blogged earlier this month about Medicare Advantage (MA) premiums showing slight decreases to no decreases across the board for 2016 based on the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) estimates.  But what does the landscape look like for Part D?

CMS stated in a September 2015 article, “Premiums in the Medicare Prescription Drug Program (Part D) will [also] be stable next year.” Earlier this year, CMS announced the average basic Medicare prescription drug plan premium in 2016 is projected to remain stable at $32.50 per month.1  CMS’ Part D average premium estimates include both Medicare Advantage Prescription Drug plans (MA-PDs) and Prescription Drug Plans (PDPs).  If we carve out PDPs from the Part D premium average reported by CMS in September, data shows, for most PDP enrollees, premiums are projected to be higher in 2016 than in 2015, and many will also see higher deductibles and more cost-sharing tiers with coinsurance.2  As cited in a recent Kaiser Family Foundation study on Medicare Part D plan offerings for 2016, the average PDP premium is projected to increase by 13 percent from 2015 to 2016, from $36.68 to $41.46 per month. When looking at the $0 premium PDP options, low-income subsidy (LIS) enrollees will have fewer to choose from.  This means either plan reassignment or beneficiary plan switches will occur for beneficiaries to continue without a premium.

What will this mean for MA plans offering Part D coverage in 2016?  Increased 2016 PDP premiums may contribute to a potential shift in membership from PDPs to MA-PDs this Annual Election Period (AEP). Leveraging this opportunity will require time investment from MA-PDs, educating beneficiaries on how making plan changes could lead to beneficiary cost savings and still meet their Part D coverage needs.

“Premium” may be the first category beneficiaries are looking at, but it is not the only thing beneficiaries consider when comparing Part D options. The entire point of AEP is to offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to evaluate their plan options and choose a plan which best meets their needs.  This means, in addition to premiums, beneficiaries are looking at deductibles, cost-sharing, formularies, and network pharmacies.

In 2016, 84 percent of PDPs will use tiered pharmacy networks, with lower cost-sharing in selected network pharmacies and higher cost-sharing in other network pharmacies. Two-thirds of all PDPs will have deductibles, with a growing share of PDPs imposing the maximum deductible allowed by law, which increased from $320 in 2015 to $360 in 2016, the largest increase in the deductible since the start of the program.2

Now that the cards are on the table, your immediate strategy, as well as that for next AEP, should be examined.  Are you at risk for losing members to competition due to pricing increases?  Are your retention efforts aligned to address this issue? Have you identified opportunities to gain membership and benefit from your competitors’ increases?

Have questions or need information?  Contact me directly at nlennig@ghgadvisors.com or Charro Knight-Lilly, Senior Vice President of Client Services, at cknightlilly@ghgadvisors.com.

1 CMS, “Medicare Prescription Drug Premiums Projected to Remain Stable” available at  https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Press-releases/2015-Press-releases-items/2015-07-29.html.

2 Oct. 13, 2015 | Jack Hoadley, Juliette Cubanski, and Tricia Neuman, Medicare Part D: A First Look at Plan Offerings in 2016, http://files.kff.org/attachment/issue-brief-medicare-part-d-a-first-look-at-plan-offerings-in-2016

 

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