My Crystal Ball

February 23, 2012
|In Policy & Health Reform
|By GHG Advisors

IF the Supreme Court (SCOTUS) find the mandate unconstitutional, THEN the Exchanges begin to unravel.

And IF that happens, THEN the Dems will have an extraordinary issue to run on in 2012, which is as meaningful to Congressional races (remember: Congress holds the money) as it is to the Presidency. 

But IF it doesn’t, the GOP will have the same.  It will look like this: “We’re being turned into France!  But without the French kissing!”

And IF they successfully take the house and hold the Senate—a scenario in which they likely capture the Big House too—then they can defund the exchanges even if they can’t muster 60 votes in the Senate to overturn it.

Should be an interesting year.